What's Microsoft got up its healthcare sleeve?
posted 07/27/2006
HIStalk
Nothing gets a niche industry more atwitter than having the Big Boys
come calling. When it comes to technology, you just aren't playing in
the Bigs these days until IBM, HP, Microsoft, or Google sees
an opportunity in your "space," as the brash young hotshots say.
Orifices moisten at the thought of companies being bought and sold,
predatory competitors dislodging hopelessly mired dinosaurs, and
mind-boggling brainpower being focused on an unexplored territory of
new problems - ours.
Microsoft's presumably tiny purchase of Azyxxi is generating
huge headlines. Bill's in the house! Like the old bumper sticker said,
"Jesus is coming -- and boy, is he pissed!" Is there a new sheriff in
town, or are we getting ahead of ourselves?
First, what did Mr. Softy buy, exactly, in its purchase of
bizarrely-named Azyxxi? A big data repository, basically, whipped up by
a couple of ED docs. Slick by all accounts, lightning fast,
sporting all-Microsoft internals, and working well at
the hospital for which it was developed. A nice accomplishment, but can
it really form the centerpiece of a much-ballyhooed Microsoft
healthcare IT strategy?
The doctors did a good job getting themselves written up in business
and technical magazines, no doubt to add some dollar signs to the
company they formed to sell it independently (without success, it would
appear.) Just because their product is a nearly invisible player in the
healthcare industry didn't keep them out of the non-healthcare
headlines, nor did it hurt their publicly chummy relationship with
Microsoft, for whom they pitched hardware and development tools. Give
them credit for delivering sizzle just like a big vendor.
What I like about their product (if it really is a product and not
just a cool program)
is that it was developed by experts in the business who had a
crystal-clear vision of what they needed in order to be successful in a
struggling hospital emergency department. It sounds like they did an
outstanding job of designing it with a clean user interface and strong
technical underpinnings that deliver superb performance (maybe with
some Microsoft help, often available when you commit to an
all-Redmond platform.) Best of all, technology quibblings aside, it
solved their business problem, which is what everybody
except geeks wants to know about software.
On the other hand, it's a one-trick pony. You can't enter any data into
it. As one of the docs who designed it said, "Putting data in is not
important in medicine." His theory: 75% of what doctors and nurses want
involves looking at data, not creating it. It's true in the ED, where
you're trying to piece together information from many sources quickly
to make treatment decisions, but I would question that breezy summary
of the 90% less-emergent side of medicine. Treat 'em and street 'em is
easy compared to designing the systems that makes someone willing to
enter all that data for the ED docs to play around with, where the
technology and complexity get a lot harder. If everyone had only
Azyxxi, they'd be staring at a blank screen.
Like most repositories, lots of the work and money must have been spent
on interfaces and the interface engine they require. That takes a lot
of expertise and vendor cooperation, not to mention smart contracting
on the customer's part if you're going to get your other vendors
happily formatting data for a competitor to use. Microsoft can't just
sell a shrink-wrapped package that's ready to go. Customers already
dread buying a portal because they know the vendor arm-twisting
required to feed it.
The product saved the hospital lots of money. Lots of software can do
that, right down to carefully designed and deployed applications
written in Access or old copies of dBase. While the hospital says they
gave Cerner's PowerChart and FirstNet the boot as a result of
what Azyxxi did for them, that seems unlikely. How can a read-only
database replace a robust ED application? Probably only if it wasn't
being fully used. My guess is they wanted to can Cerner anyway and
decided to double-dip with a nice marketing story for their new
creation.
Other hospitals that have sold homegrown slick (and not-so-slick)
applications later purchased by vendors had problems making the leap to
off-the-shelf software. The effort to remove hard-coded business rules,
to support a variety of hardware platforms, to offer customization
switches, and to package up documentation and implementation tools is
not inconsequential. Sometimes about all the vendor buys is the design,
rebuilding just about everything else around it to make it usable. Can
a package that was designed for the ED of an 800-bed hospital work in
one much smaller, at an attractive price point? Because if it can't,
you've only got a few dozen prospects to sell it to.
So, my summary is that Microsoft bought a technically cool software
package with unknown applicability anywhere other than where it was
developed. If that's where they stop, or even if it really is the
centerpiece of some yet-undefined software porftolio as they're
suggesting, then it really is much ado about nothing. So what else
could be up their sleeve?
Microsoft's success with enterprise applications is limited -- Great
Plains accounting software comes to mind. Healthcare software requires
a lot of industry knowledge, consulting abilities, and clinical
knowledge. Maybe they can buy their way into competitiveness with
long-timers like GE Healthcare, Cerner, Meditech, and Epic. Maybe not.
Would we trust them to understand our business and not just size up our
pockets for picking? Do they really want to revolutionize healthcare,
or just goose a sagging bottom line in an industry that doesn't look
all that tough with all of our MUMPS and Cache' stuff running
everywhere? And don't forget their healthcare partners, who might not
appreciate seeing their bestest buddy becoming their most-feared
competitor.
Maybe they're limbering up for a big purchase. Eclipsys comes to mind
immediately since they're not doing so well, they're a fervent
Microsoft shop with super-technie John Gomez running development, and
they have a good interfacing group that could help get Azyxxi going. Or
maybe they'd shoot for the stars with Cerner or Allscripts. Conceivably
they could pull an IBM and buy a struggling but talented consulting
firm like First Consulting Group to get immediate credibility. Or,
maybe they'll just grab all the unhappy vendor and hospital IT staff
and pay them big bucks to sit in private offices and play Foosball on
the Microsoft campus.
Even more importantly, the possibility of Microsoft's doing something
big has to be on the radar of arch-rivals Google and Oracle. Might they
buy pre-emptively, or bid up prices on mid-range healthcare IT vendors
with good technology and decent prospects? Or, could Microsoft be
looking for expertise on pulling clinical information into a beefed-up
search engine to compete with Google Health with personal health
records vendors like Intuit? Could Emdeon or Misys be in play, with
their widely installed but technically low-rent platforms begging for a
new owner? Microsoft does love that tollgate revenue and I can see them
salivating at transaction processing.
Enough free-form speculation from me without a sanity check. What do
you think? If you're a vendor, what areas would you fear Microsoft's
entry the most? If you're a customer, would you buy from them, and what
do you hope they'll deliver that's not already available? Has Microsoft
made the first chess move in a big-scale game with Google and others,
and if so, what will happen next? No wallflowers, please -- I
really want to hear what you have to say (and you know the other rags
aren't saying anything insightful.) Take a few minutes and e-mail me your
thoughts, OK? I'll summarize your ideas for the world to see.