Jon Phillips is a guru of
healthcare IT business activity in his role as managing
director of Healthcare Growth Partners. I'm sure he knows all
the juicy stuff about which companies are looking to be
bought, which ones passed on buying others, or how the
long-term strategies of players large and small are changing.
I'd be lousy at his job because I can't keep my mouth shut
when I know something everybody else doesn't (which is why I'm
a poor HIStalk scribe instead of a boardroom player) but Jon
chooses his words carefully and keeps confidences close to the
vest.
I'm fascinated with the inner workings of HIT deal-making, so
I was pleased when Jon agreed to be interviewed for HIStalk. I
should mention, too, that he is an HIStalk sponsor, for which
I'm appreciative but that otherwise had no bearing on our
discussion.
Tell me about what Healthcare Growth Partners does.
Healthcare Growth Partners focuses on providing strategic and
advisory services to healthcare technology companies. We offer
consulting and investment banking services focused on
healthcare. I founded the company almost five years after
helping build the William Blair healthcare IT practice from a
very small business into one of their largest. Last year, I
decided to spin it out onto my own.
I recognized that there’s a lot of activity that goes on in
the healthcare IT market involving companies under $25 million
revenue. Those companies need more help than the pure
transaction services that investment bankers usually provide.
I get charged up working with marketing, strategic planning,
and partner strategy. When you look at these smaller vendors,
they have great talent, but they’re small and they don't have
a lot of people. You see great products and ideas, but the
challenge is the chasm between a $1-2 million business and a
$10 million business. They need a fair amount of help.
Before working for Blair, I did five years of management
consulting with Deloitte. Healthcare Growth Partners lets me
combine my transaction experience from William Blair with my
strategy and operational experience with Deloitte into a full
advisory firm.
How did GE's acqusition of IDX change the HIT
marketplace?
Some people say it means there will be more aggressive
competition in radiology, such as when Philips acquired
Stentor. GE gets an installed base that helps them further
grow the Centricity PACS solution. Some believe it will help
GE go after revenue cycle more aggressively with the Flowcast
offerings, changing some of the business models of how
software and services are delivered to large physician
groups.
The acquisition is both an opportunity and a threat to the
mid-market or best-of breed-vendors. Companies like Allscripts
have to be scratching their heads about the underlying
strategic rationale and what GE’s long-term perspectives
are.
GE is a well-run company and if any company can make an
acquisition like this work, it’s them. They also have a very
long timeline. This step, their Intermountain deal, and their
Amersham business signal that they’re looking at a future
that’s very far out, looking to redefine the competitive
landscape. If the mid-tier folks don’t understand that, GE
will have written sectors of the market out of existence.
GE's objective when they started investing in healthcare IT
was to pick up products with strong customer bases and market
presence and get them to a common technology platform. The
strategy hasn’t changed, but they have more pieces in place
and a broader product offering than almost anyone out there.
They can have significant influence on how people compete.
When GE gets involved in a hospital deal, they may not win,
but they change the game, certainly more effectively than
Siemens did with SMS. For example, they could bring hardware
and financing into a software deal, making other companies no
longer competitive. By virtue of their heft, they can slow
down the sales cycle and cause second guessing by the decision
makers.
I don’t think the integration of IDX and the molding of their
disparate software offerings into a single platform is a piece
of cake to do. They have a lot of integration challenges. They
are experienced in doing that, but there’s a window still open
for now in which competitors can scope our their
landscape.
Why didn't they buy a company with bigger market share or
better products?
There was a pricing disconnect. To buy Cerner and Eclipsys
would have cost more than GE was willing to pay. With IDX,
there was only one other statement of interest from a
potential acquirer and their bid was lower than GE's. The
market is speaking as to what those assets were worth. GE’s
job is to wring value out of that.
The timing of the IDX acquisition is interesting. You had a
new head of GEMS IT. There’s an aspect where if you’re the new
guy in the chair, you have a bias toward action because the
person in the chair before you isn’t there, either because of
something they did or something they didn’t do. If you just
stay the path, you’re falling into the definition of insanity,
doing the same thing and expecting a different outcome. They
wanted to become broader. Rumor was they looked at a number of
other players out there and landed on IDX, who was in a tough
position because of their UK issues and the Stentor
acquisition by Phillips. Rich Tarrant wanted to run for
Senate, too. Willing seller, willing buyer, and IDX was the
right candidate
I think this is a shift in GE's
strategy. They realized the growth of the industry and needed
a bigger presence. Cerner would be too expensive. Eclipsys
will sell at some point, but I don’t think their shareholders
were ready for a deal since there was too much value to pull
the trigger yet. When you run through the list of potential
companies to acquire, there weren’t many that could have an
impact on a company like GE.
With GE's HIT offerings
combined with high-margin items like biotechnology and
biomedical equipment into one large business, doesn't that
ensure that their HIT business will look good no matter
what?
They won’t hold the IT division’s feet to the fire now, but
eventually they will. If I had to pick a large healthcare IT
organization to run, that one would be at or near the bottom
of my list. They have so much going for them just because
they’re GE, but trying to figure out which products to go with
and which marginal ones to get rid of, where do you take it?
They’re in a tough spot if the poor product has great market
share. You can’t try to force migrations or sunset products.
Stay in front so folks don’t go in a different direction, but
focus on customer service and then when it comes time to make
the decision about migration, they’re more inclined to go with
you.
Eclipsys is finding the same thing, particularly in a
subscription model. You’re getting paid over time, so the #1
thing to do is to keep your customers happy or they’ll walk.
One of Cerner’s big priorities when they bought VitalWorks was
to focus on customer service. It’s easy to take your customers
for granted and the little guys are waiting to take them away
from you. That’s how NextGen has worked their way up. They
were standing there waiting in the wings as EMRs started to
take off, where they could then sell practice management
solutions to those same customers unhappy with their old one.
That’s where you start seeing that churn, you get the door
open with a new product. Migration’s a pain, but if someone
has enough reason, they'll switch.
It seems that going public makes small companies worse once
they fall into the never-ending quarterly
earnings cycle.
The objective of most companies is either to be sold or go
public. Sometimes a company is happy just to make money and
not grow, but not often. The pressures increase exponentially
on a publicly traded company. Even just trying to go public
makes you so focused on financial results that you lose sight
of the strategy.
To go public, you need to be a $50 million company. If you’re
a $20 million company, you might go out and make acquisitions
just to get bigger, even though they don’t follow the
strategy. Sometimes companies cut back on services or support
just to pretty themselves up for a sale.
My standard advice for companies is to run the business as if
you’ll be running it independently with no extra capital and
no buyer. Then, if something good happens, you can always
build on that. You don’t try to position the business for sale
or for an investment and then find you’ve got an asset without
much worth. Focus on the business. The rest of that stuff will
come.
You've said that large vendors aren’t good at innovation.
Who will provide it?
I think it will come from the small companies. I looked back
at transaction activity over ten years in healthcare IT and
some of those that were the most successful were strategic,
but more product- or market entry-focused rather than the big,
“I’m going to change the world” transaction.
Think of McKesson ALI. That worked out for everyone involved.
Everyone wondered why they paid those multiples, but they had
a clear strategy around it and developing it themselves would
have taken longer. They could bring ALI rapidly to market and
increase prices. That was one of their best acquisitions, in
both concept and execution. Innovation will find its way to
big companies either because they’re fast followers or because
they're doing acquisitions.
Big companies have phenomenal development talent, but it’s
much harder for them to keep in touch with their customers.
Small companies know if they lose a customer they're in big
trouble.
Who’s next in line to be acquired?
Eclipsys will be sold, but the timeline is a couple of years,
probably not this year. In terms of strategic activity,
Allscripts needs to take some strategic steps. Misys needs to
take some steps. They have very sttractive assets on the
healthcare side and they can position themselves as buyer of
choice for a lot of people. I think QuadraMed will try to
build the company back up, maybe to sell eventually.
With First Consulting Group, it comes back to who would buy
them. It’s tough when application companies buy services
businesses. They already have a professional services
organization internally, but could buy an organization to
avoid hiring people. The problem is that all the consultants
are out there generating revenue and if you move them to your
existing customers, you’re just swapping revenue for revenue
without adding growth. First Consulting needs to be bought by
someone like a Perot or someone with a longer perspective who
can afford to do it because it’s long-term. They’re in a tough
position.
You’ll continue see action in the mid-market size, say $25-75
million businesses, maybe Picis or SIS or A4. Mediware is a
public company already, but they could do better with a
financial sponsor.Those companies are close to figuring out
whether they can go public or not and are big enough to talk
to both strategic and financial acquirers, giving them a
greater chance for a better outcome.
You’ll see more financial investments in HIT in 2006 than in
recent years. People have made a lot of money in the public
markets, so I think you’ll have more financial sponsors who
want to invest.
Let's say you have to invest your life savings in one HIT
company, public or private. Who do you pick for a one- and
five-year term?
For the one-year term, Eclipsys. I’m a big fan of what Andy
Eckert has done so far. They have good products and the
subscription model is great if you can effectively implement
it.
For the five-year term, I'll name three: Cerner, Merge
Healthcare, and Quality Systems. For a five-year investment,
you want to pick the entity that’s heads and shoulders above
their independent competitors. You can throw stones at Cerner,
but they’re a well-run company. Merge’s Cedara transaction
made them incredibly well-positioned to grow fast and generate
a lot of cash. Quality Systems has great products and has
struck a balance on how to grow at a good clip without
sacrificing their customers along the way.
Who wins and who loses if RHIOs go bust?
Healthvision loses. A lot of
folks jumping into HIT because of Brailer’s press releases
lose. Despite some of the releases, the historical vendors
seem to be adopting more of a wait-and-see approach on
interoperability, especially when it comes to RHIOs. If they
take off, great, HIT doesn’t move fast enough that they can’t
get on the train. If it doesn’t work out, non-traditional
players will be kicking themselves in how they got into
healthcare IT.
A small company of developers wants advice on what products
to build. What do you tell them?
It’s a twist on interoperability. Build a solution that can,
either on the front or back end, access hospital information
like a true dashboard, a solution that allows access to
information from multiple sources within the four walls of the
hospital. You’ll always see department-specific solutions, so
there’s an interesting opportunity to go in and say, "I don’t
care if you’re using Cerner at this hospital and Eclipsys at
that hospital, I’ll give you something that will work for
both."
It isn’t as grandiose as RHIOs,
but it could be an interesting step. For example, I’ve worked
with a company whose middleware fits between PACS and any
archive and lets you plug-and-play PACS into it. Those kinds
of solutions give more flexibility to purchasers like hospital
CIOs because it’s a nightmare to get things to work
together.
Siemens has been awfully quiet lately. What's going on with
them?
Soarian has obviously taken them
a lot longer than they thought. They’ve had some real setbacks
along the way. Siemens as an organization has the patience to
see Soarian through. The question is, when you look at where
they sit in the marketplace, are they really #1 or #2 in
healthcare IT? The answer is no. So, if the strategy is to be
a market leader, should they just lump it in with their other
hospital technology businesses and claim to be a market
leader? Or, do they just get out of it? I don’t think they’ll
get out of healthcare IT, but you’ll start to see more
pressure on themselves to gain relevancy with Soarian. What
you hear now is that they’re irrelevant, and no one wants to
be in that position.
Can companies that aren't making money in this boom market
hope to compete?
They can compete for a little while. Smaller companies that
aren't making money will just cut price to get sales, doing
irrational things in the marketplace. Larger companies are
more inefficient. There’s no structural reason they can’t make
money, but they’ve got too many VPs or whatever their problems
are.
If you look at who’s profitable, you have to grow if the
market’s growing. With the smaller companies, they can make a
little bit of money but they have to think much bigger,
because the cost of being a $30 million public company can
really hurt you. They need to get bigger. All of the big
players got big by acquisition, either a small amount or large
amount, so even though I’m biased as an M&A advisor, I
think any growth strategy must include acquisition. I give
lots of credit to MEDITECH and Epic for having grown large
without M&A, but the rest of us need to
Who do you admire most in the industry?
I have to say, even though people will throw tomatoes at me, I admire Neal Patterson a lot. He’s at the top of things and Cerner has walked a long road to get there. He has a passion for this space and I admire him for standing up.
Do you read HIStalk?
Absolutely, within minutes of getting the update e-mail. We
sponsor too, of course. Sometimes you get wind of deal that
I'm aware of and I'll get e-mails asking if I've seen what
HIStalk just said. You've got the attention of people in the
industry.
Tim, as usual, great article. Informative and timely. If you do a follow-up
with Jon at some later time I'd love to get his thoughts on the following
questions: